Güllü Bağlar Neighborhood, Pendik

The Güllü Bağlar neighborhood is located in Pendik district, made up of 1,307 buildings.

Where Is Güllü Bağlar?

The Güllü Bağlar neighborhood is adjacent to neighborhoods such as Dumlupınar, Ertuğrul Gazi, Esenler. Within the neighborhood, the price per square meter shows a 1.7x difference between the most and least expensive areas; the median for Istanbul neighborhoods is 2.05x.

EsenlerYayalarGüllü Bağlar
Within-neighborhood price gap×1.68

Among apartments of the same size, age, floor and room count, a 1.68x price difference was measured within this neighborhood. The Istanbul median is ×2.05 (the black line marks it). A wide gap means where you live within the neighborhood matters a lot; a narrow one means the neighborhood is homogeneous.

We cannot say where in the neighborhood the difference occurs. Source and methodology

Who Lives in the Güllü Bağlar Neighborhood?

19K people live in Güllü Bağlar, at a density of 15K people per km². That is 15% below the Istanbul average density. The median age is 32; the Istanbul neighborhood average is 36, which makes this a neighborhood 4 years younger. The average household here has 3.3 people. The average length of schooling is 9 years, the same as the city average. 21% are university graduates, compared with 22% citywide.

Population
19,001
5,846 households
Median age
31.7
Istanbul 35.5
Average household
3.25people
Istanbul 3.17
People / km²
15,448
Istanbul 18,211

Education level of neighborhood residents

Average education9.1 years−3%
Women's education8.7 years−4%
University graduates21%−1 points

The vertical line marks the average (median) of Istanbul's 745 neighborhoods; the value beside it is the neighborhood's difference from that average (percentage points for ratios, relative difference for durations).

Infrastructure and environment

Average internet speed153 Mbps−51%
Fiber coverage9%−16 points
Green space per person1.13 m²+47%

Socioeconomic status

Households receiving social assistance5%0 points

Indicators are compiled from TÜİK, BTK and İBB Open Data records. Source and methodology

Profile of Güllü Bağlar Neighborhood Residents

Resident satisfaction

Kanalizasyon80.4%
Elektrik80.4%
Yeşil alan80.4%
Sokak aydınlatması78.4%
Kaldırımlar78.4%
İnternet78.4%
Hava kalitesi76.5%
Gürültü76.5%
Temizlik76.5%
Toplu taşıma76.5%
Su74.5%

Share who said "satisfied" or "very satisfied." The vertical line marks the Pendik district overall.

Hometowns

SivasKarabükRizeSamsunÇankırıNevşehir

Asked directly of residents in the İBB household survey: the hometown of those born outside Istanbul who settled here.

Source: İBB Veriye Dayalı Yönetim Modeli hane halkı araştırması (50.391 hane). 51 households from this neighborhood responded.

What Is the Güllü Bağlar Neighborhood Like?

Güllü Bağlar is a neighborhood with an education level close to the Istanbul average; 21% of adults are university graduates. By household, the share of households receiving social assistance is close to the city average (5.0%). At the ballot box, the ruling bloc is ahead by a clear margin (63%). There are no businesses serving alcohol on the premises in the public space; consumption venues draw a conservative character.

Consumption character

Looking at the types of consumption venues in Güllü Bağlar, the neighborhood sits at the conservative end of the secular/conservative public space scale.

Conservative consumption character
conservative public spacesecular public space

Ballot box · political leaning

In the second round of the 2023 presidential election, iktidar bloğunun cumhurbaşkanı adayı received 63.4% of the vote at Güllü Bağlar's ballot boxes. In the 2024 local elections, AK PARTİ finished ahead in the district mayoral race with 51.4%. With this vote distribution, the neighborhood falls in the 16% band of Istanbul's spectrum from ruling bloc vote to opposition bloc vote.

Highest ruling bloc vote
ruling blocopposition bloc

The scale shows political bloc preference; cultural identity is not inferred from the vote. Source and methodology

Civic fabric · associations

15 associations are registered with an address in the neighborhood. Most are in the meslek ve dayanışma category (11 associations). The sharpest deviation from Istanbul's composition is in the meslek ve dayanışma category: 16 points higher than citywide.

Civic vitality (associations per 1,000 people)0.79Istanbul median 0.86
şehir ortancasının altında (higher than 45% of Istanbul neighborhoods)
Meslek ve dayanışma11 · 73%+16 points
Dini hizmet2 · 13%+6 points
Gıda ve tarım1 · 7%+7 points
Spor1 · 7%+3 points

The vertical line is that category's citywide share.

Hometown associations

Çorum · 2Erzurum · 2SivasKarsOrduSinop

It shows which communities have organized here, not who lives here. Source and methodology

This is not a measure of belief or lifestyle. Source and methodology

Transportation in the Güllü Bağlar Neighborhood

Within Güllü Bağlar's boundaries, 20 different İETT bus lines pass through 20 bus stops. There is no rail station in the neighborhood; the nearest is "Yayalar-Şeyhli," 1 km from the neighborhood center as the crow flies. 93% of the neighborhood's population can reach a rail transit stop within walking distance.

Rail lines
0
no station
Ferry lines
0
no ferry pier
Bus lines
20
20 stops

Stops were counted within the neighborhood boundary; rail stations and ferry piers have a 400 meter buffer. Source and methodology

Building Stock

The neighborhood's building construction period and floor distribution. Construction period is the strongest factor determining earthquake risk.

72%
23%
before 19801980–2000after 2000
Total buildings
1,307
10.5 buildings/ha
Average floors
3.6
10+ floors
0.8%
Neighborhood area
124.6ha

Source: İBB Open Data (2017 Neighborhood-Level Building Counts). Construction after 2017 is not reflected in this count.

Earthquake Risk (İBB Possible Earthquake Scenario)

Projected values for this neighborhood in the expected major Marmara earthquake.

Very heavy damage
4buildings
Heavy damage
21buildings
Moderate damage
131buildings
Heavy+ rate
5.3%
share of damaged buildings
Projected fatalities
1
Severely injured
0
Temporary shelter
552people

İBB olası deprem senaryosu (mahalle bazında)

Soil class

27%
66%
Z1 · rock / very denseZ2 · denseZ3 · medium dense to loose

8% of Güllü Bağlar's soil is in the loose or soft class (Z3-Z4). Ground motion here is felt on average 16% stronger than on rock.

Source: İBB Microzonation, Soil Classification Map (per the Earthquake Code). 98% of the neighborhood is covered by the map; the shares are based on that portion. The map's positional accuracy was measured at 170 meters, so it does not resolve to a single parcel.

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